Sports Betting – Theorem 3

A sportsbook is a place where people can make bets on sporting events. These bets can be placed in person or online, depending on the rules of each region. A good sportsbook will accept major credit cards and other popular transfer methods, and it will also be easy to deposit and withdraw money. However, it is important to understand the rules of a sportsbook before placing any bets.

One of the most popular types of bets at a sportsbook is the Over/Under totals bet, which is based on the total number of points scored in a game. While these bets do not guarantee a winner, they can provide a fun way to watch a game and win some cash. Choosing the right over/under totals for your bets will help you maximize your profits.

Theorem 3: If the sportsbook produces a spread estimate within 2.4 percentiles of the true median outcome, wagering always yields a negative expected profit (assuming that the bettor consistently wagers on the side with the higher probability of winning).

This result suggests that sportsbooks often propose values that deviate from their estimated median in order to entice bettors to place bets with them. The implications of this finding are far-reaching, as they suggest that sportsbooks may be exploiting public biases to increase their profits. This is a phenomenon that has been observed in multiple studies of sports betting markets and other betting markets. The derived theorems described in this article are a first step towards a deeper understanding of these inefficiencies.

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